Team Pursuit gives better idea of race winner, final probability

BY CHARLES SCUDDER | @cscudder

Unlike Quals, Team Pursuit results can yield a decent model for predicting race day success. Team Pursuit and Miss ‘N Out are better simulators for how teams perform on the day of the race than the other events before race day.

IUSF records are inconsistent at best when it comes to Miss ‘N Out results, giving us an uphill battle when creating a historic base on which to extract winning probability. Instead, we can look at the past 20 years of Team Pursuit results to predict the chances teams have of winning based exclusively on their Team Pursuit placement.

Continue reading

Teter to wear white jersey for second straight year

Coming into Sunday, Teter needed four points to tie Alpha Chi Omega in the Spring Series standings. It would need to beat AXO to accomplish that feat.

Teter looked to be off to a good start to that when it recorded an 8:20.57 — by far besting the top time at the moment.

But then AXO followed with a 8:19.46.

The challenge was on. The two would meet in the finals with the winner taking the Spring Series crown.

If Teter won the finals, it would tie AXO in the points standings. The tiebreaker goes to the top finisher in Team Pursuit.

And Teter won that tiebreaker.

Continue reading

Black Key Bulls win Spring Series, will wear white jersey

With both Beta Theta Pi and Phi Delta Theta not qualifying for the finals of Team Pursuit, Black Key Bulls, currently with the top men’s time, will win the Spring Series.

It is the first time in team-history Black Key Bulls will wear the white jersey on race day as winners of the Spring Series. The team started racing in 2006.

BKB entered Sunday with a 1-point lead on Beta and a 2-point lead on pole-sitter Phi Delta Theta. It ran a 9:21.16 at Team Pursuit, more than five seconds faster than the Phi Delts and 13 seconds faster than Beta. With Cutters running the second fastest time, it guarantees that neither Phi Delts or Beta will be in the final.

It is the second year in a row an independent team will wear the white jersey, with Cutters wearing it last year.

Continue reading